The Five Point Rule in Horse Race Handicapping
There are going to be some races easier to handicap than others. Take a range of
5 points from the horse with the top RacingPicks.Com Power Rating
and all others within the 5 point range. If there are many horses within
that range, the race is very competitive. In this situation you should look at the
pace shape very closely, see which horses have more to like and pay close attention
to our true odds versus tote board odds. If you see a race with 5 or more horses
within the 5 point range you are looking at a very contentious event. To bet those
type of races sometimes the horseplayer needs to be creative but always look for value.
See if there is a Value Odds
horse in the race. Also in large fields it can get chaotic at times. With this being said
the horse with the top power rating is still the horse to beat but he's not a good play
if his tote odds are lower than Our True Odds. Sometimes in a chaos race the horseplayer needs
to play the race from more than 1 angle. We call this The Five Point Rule.
In all races try to find a nice overlay - A horse with RacingPicks.Com TRUE ODDS of between 3-1 and 6-1 but is going off
at much higher odds. Also the group with OUR TRUE ODDS of 8-1 to 12-1
could have huge overlay longshot potential to complete the exotics.
Try to find an overlay in every race. Sometimes they are easier to
find in these contentious races. See the chart below:
- Be aware of how many horses are within 5 power points of the top pick (the horse with the highest power points)
- The larger the field, the better chance for a large payoff.
- The most contentious races also have the potential for big prices.
- The last few races on a card can offer some nice overlays.
Most of our best overlay winners come from
horses with Our True Odds of between
3-1 and 6-1.
OUR TRUE ODDS 50% OVERLAY
Odds/$1 Tote Odds Generous Odds
1.2 6-5 9-5
1.4 7-5 2-1
1.6 8-5 5-2
1.8 9-5 5-2
2 2-1 3-1
2.5 5-2 7-2
3 3-1 9-2
3.5 7-2 5-1
4 4-1 6-1
4.5 9-2 7-1
5 5-1 7-1
6 6-1 9-1
7 7-1 11-1
8 8-1 12-1
10 10-1 15-1
12 12-1 18-1
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