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True Odds Overlays in Maiden Claiming Races

Maiden claiming races with no more than 2 first timers. Those of you that have read our other articles know the significance of this type of race. We have written about the superb betting opportunities in this type of race however we never gave it a whole article. We feel the play is so strong and proven that the time has come. As you know, the top 4 picks on the RacingPicks.Com Platinum report are your source for overlays in all races. We also know that finding and betting on solid overlays is the only way to make long term profit in this game, period. The race (see full analysis below) is the 3rd race at the Fairgrounds for December 26, 2002. Compare the near post time odds with our true odds below. You will see #5 is over bet at 7-5 as we gave him a 3-1 odds rating. You will also see the remaining 3 horses are being offered at fair and/or overlay odds. Those 3 took the money and those of you concentrating on overlays and fair odds value did very well in this race. Bottom line: These maiden claiming races (MCl) with no more than 2 first time starters make fantastic betting opportunities using our Platinum report. For future use let's call these races MCl/n2 which stands for Maiden Claiming race/no more than 2 first timers.

We were recently contacted by a successful member: "I concentrate 60% - 70% of my plays on these maiden claiming races and am doing very well for the year. My book shows a profit of +78% for the year playing the New York, Southern Cal, Florida and Kentucky circuits. Those overlays in the top 4 are there in almost every kind of race, the maiden claimers just offer extra value! "

It is a well know fact that a small % of players are winning the majority of the payouts in this game. Of all the ones we know personally they have a few common denominators. They all pay close attention to getting fair odds, overlays, etc AND keep records & notes of their bets. And oh yes one other thing, they CAN & DO pass a race or two. If you can't find an edge, pass the race. If you can't pass the race throw just a few bucks in there. Why not give this way a try? Is your way working well? If you are reading this it quite possibly means you are looking for a way to make money. Be honest with yourself and start playing for profit.

TOP 4 PICKS POST TIME ODDS
#5 Sol's Bag..........7-5 (our true odds 3-1) No good - Underlay
#7 Colorful One.......4-1 (our true odds 4-1) Fair odds
#6 Travelin Edgar....10-1 (our true odds 5-1) Great! - Overlay
#11 L S Piannomagic....8-1 (our true odds 8-1) Fair odds

 
11  L S Piannomagic   19.00 6.80 4.80    
 7  Colorful One            4.80 3.80
 6  Travelin Edgar               4.60    
 $2 Exacta   11-7     $70.80
 $2 Trifecta 11-7-6  $536.80 
=================================================================================
Race 3 FG  3 12/26/02  8fur D 2yrC    MCl 20000   Purse= 10000 { T 3 6 E Q S }
=================================================================================

  5 SOL'S . (4/3) 
    Has the recent BEST SPEED FIGS and morning line odds are higher than 7/2!!.
    Drops into a claiming race for the 1st time, should find this field much
    easier and could make a big improvement today!!!. Earnings per start average
    for current year is best in this field which means this horse has been
    productive versus similar or better competition.
      BAG/MAGESTERIAL   LA   TAYLOR JOHN F/LEBLANC K P
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  7 COLORF. (3/4) 
    Gets the nod for best final time rating of this field for this year which
    means this horse could be very tough if that race is repeated today. Finished
    in the money versus a similar bunch in last start.
      CONTESTED COLORS/NATIONAL ZENITH   LA   PITZER FLOYD D/MARTIN E M JR
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  6 TRAVEL. (8/5) 
    Rated a major contender and could go off at OVERLAY odds!!!. Jockey wins at a
    high % this meet, getting live mounts.
      PANCHO VILLA/RAISE A REGAL   LA   MORREALE JAKE V/ALBARADO R J
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 11 L S PI. (8/8)
    Encountered traffic in last race, lost ground during the middle of the
    race but gained ground back once clear. A true sign of a tenacious
    thoroughbred with a big heart, the Z PATTERN ANGLE!!
      GIUSEPPE/FEU D'ENFER   LA   BLANCHARD ABEL/MECHE D J
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  3 REMEMB. (8/8)  
    This horse has the best top line pedigree for today's distance.
      IDE/HOUSTON   LA   BOURGEOIS KEITH/BOREL C H
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  2 DA LAW. (5/8)
    Finished in the money versus a similar bunch in last start.
      RAIL/GOLDEN ACT   LA   LEGGIO FRANK/THERIOT H J II
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  8 LED BY. (20/8)  
    Gets blinkers on today which could help this horse focus more. Drops into a
    claiming race for the 1st time, should find this field much easier and could
    make a big improvement today!!!. Trainer has frequently gotten OVERLAY
    mutuels on winners this year so check to see if near post odds are generous.
      MR. BRILLIANT/CONTORSIONIST   LA   CALDWELL DELMAR R/JAEN A
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  4~FIGHTI. (12/12) 
    Races with 1ST TIME LASIX today and could make a BIG improvement. Trainer has
    frequently gotten OVERLAY mutuels on winners this year so check to see if
    near post odds are generous.
      GOODBYE DOENY/FIT TO FIGHT   LA   DUPLECHIN JAMES H/LANERIE C J
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  1 KIRBY'. (20/20)
    Did not have an ideal trip in last race and that made it tough for this horse
    to run its best race.
      ZUPPARDO'S PRINCE/DANSONS   LA   RHODES WILLYS W/SMITH V L
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 10~BIT.  . (30/20)
    Races with 2ND TIME LASIX so a big race could be pending.
      I'MA HELL RAISER/MAGIC NORTH   LA   STEMMANS DONALD/MECHE L J
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 12 KIDDLE. (8/20) 
    Had a recent workout that was the best of the day for the distance, usually a
    good indication of a high fitness level.
      EXCAVATE/SINGULAR   LA   DESORMEAUX J KEITH/SANTIAGO J
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  9 CONDOR. (20/30) 
    Trainer knows how to get them ready for a possible big effort in career debut
    which is a very special talent.
      BLUE ENSIGN/SASSAFRAS    LA   CUCCIA L J/MUDD J
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CONFIDENCE RATING: C   BEST LONGSHOT THIS RACE:  6   PACE SHAPE RATING:  3.2
=================================================================================
  P HORSE LSX  M RUN   POW  CLASS   ER  MD  LT TOTAL SPD PRS  RCT DST CUR WRK LST
  # NAME  123  L STYLE RTG  TL*RE   PA  PA  PA PACE  FIG LVL  FIG FIG FRM PTS RCE
=================================================================================
Pace Pars-->                        86  85  85  170
  5 SOL'S .:   4  P 3   94   7*     85  81   0    0   65 227$  71   0   1  --  13
  7 COLORF.:   3  P 2   91   3* 7   75  70  87  157   58 112   56  67   6  --  19
  6 TRAVEL.:   8  S 0   87    *     67  61  82  143   60   0   62  66   4  --  19
 11 L S PI.:   8  P 4   85   4* 4   72  87   0    0   62 118   60   0  -3  --  25
  3 REMEMB.:   8  E 6   82  26*     81  70  69  140   50  88   57  65   7  79  19
  2 DA LAW.:   5  EP6   80   5* 5   79  66  86  152   53 103   50  54   6  --  19
  8 LED BY.:  20  P 3   78   8*     72  73   0    0   55  85$  57   0  -1  --  27
  4~FIGHTI.1  12  na1   61    *     0    0   0    0   49   0    0   0  -1  --  21
  1 KIRBY'.:  20  S 4   59   4* 4   70  75   0    0   42   0   43   0   0  --  13
 10~BIT.  .2  30  na1   32    *     57  58   0    0   21   0   25   0  -2  --  29
 12 KIDDLE.1   8  First  1    *      timer                 0            2  81
  9 CONDOR.1  20  First  1    *      timer                 0            1  53
 
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