Off-Track Strategies
Let's take a look at this race where the track is MUDDY. We can see by the icons that the top pick favorite, #2 LITTLE COMPTON, has the "WET"
notation. She runs well on a muddy track however the betting public has bet her down to odds on. We can't bet this horse at those odds. We look
again and see that #3 IMMA SARA is the only other horse in the race who also has the "WET" icon. She is being offered at 8-1 near post time and
our true odds on her are 6-1. This makes a nice overlay bet. Remember, an overlay in the top 4 picks and/or a longshot from picks 5,6,7 is what
we look for. See the race report from our Diamond report below as well as the results of the race:
3 Imma Sara $17.80 4.80 3.40 $2 Perfecta 3-2 $31.60
2 Little Compton 2.60 2.20 $2 Trifecta 3-2-8 $176.20
8 Chips N Salsa 3.60
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Race 2 SUF 2 08/05/03 8fur D 3+yrM&F C 5000 Purse= 6200 { T E }
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2 LITTLE COMPTON (1/1)
Drops to the lowest class level of career today, which is a plus factor, and
is the ONLY HORSE in this field showing this angle!. Total class rating is at
least 15 points higher than any other horse in this field. That means it has
raced competitive in the past versus similar or better competition. Has the
important BACK CLASS EDGE!!. Gets the nod for best final time rating of this
field for this year which means this horse could be very tough if that race
is repeated today. Earnings per start average for current year is best in
this field which means this horse has been productive versus similar or
better competition. Did not have an ideal trip in last race and that made it
tough for this horse to run its best race. Within its last few starts this
horse has matched or exceeded par for final time at today's class level and
distance, a strong attribute.
HALORY HUNTER/FULL OUT KY DANDY RONALD J/HAMPSHIRE J F JR
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8 CHIPS N SALSA (6/5)
Has the best early & mid pace ratings, the very important PACE ADVANTAGE!!.
Early pace edge of 10 points or more means this horse could possibly get an
easy lead and reserve energy early. Trainer has frequently gotten OVERLAY
mutuels on winners this year so check to see if near post odds are generous.
NORTHERN NO TRUMP/MATCH THE HATCH KY RADFORD KATHRYN L/THOMPSON W A
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3 IMMA SARA (5/6)
This horse has the best top line pedigree for today's distance. Did not have
an ideal trip in last race and that made it tough for this horse to run its
best race. Had an outside post in each of the last few starts but gets a
better starting position today finally.
AGGRESSIVE CHIEF/EL PRADO KY LAFLEUR GIRARD E/JOHNSON R
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1A CRYPTOINTHESTARS (6/6)
Could be a factor on best effort today and might offer some value at the
windows. Consider using if post time odds are generous.
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4 YOU MISSED (8/6)
Form points are high, is coming back within 14 days of last start and could
be in very good condition. Finished in the money versus a similar bunch in
last start. Finishes in the money frequently at this distance, always a
threat.
YOUMADEYOURPOINT/RAJAB FL RICCIARDI ANTHONY/DUYS D C
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1 REPTILE (6/8)
Could be a factor on best effort today and might offer some value at the
windows. Consider using if post time odds are generous.
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6 REGAL LULLABY (15/6)
This horse shows the best recent class figure which means it has run well in
its last few races versus good company. Did not have an ideal trip in last
race and that made it tough for this horse to run its best race.
REGAL SEARCH/BUCKSPLASHER FL LOCKHART LORI L/SOSA P JR
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5 GRAND PARTICULIER (15/8)
Form points are high, is coming back within 14 days of last start and could
be in very good condition.
DEVIL HIS DUE/PRIVATE THOUGHTS KY MCGRAW PAUL/MASCARTE MAGALI
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7 DEE'S DILEMMA (10/10)
Form points are high, is coming back within 14 days of last start and could
be in very good condition.
VICKSBURG/JOLIE'S HALO FL HANDY GEORGE R/PHILLIPS M
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CONFIDENCE RATING: B BEST LONGSHOT THIS RACE: 4 PACE SHAPE RATING: 3.4
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P HORSE LSX M RUN POW CLASS ER MD LT TOTAL SPD PRS RCT DST CUR WRK LST
# NAME 123 L STYLE RTG TL*RE PA PA PA PACE FIG LVL FIG FIG FRM PTS RCE
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Pace Pars--> 79 70 73 144
2 LITTLE.: 1 S 0 111 33* 70 70 93 163 67 408$ 70 72 0 -- 31
8 CHIPS .: 6 E 8 96 5* 6 89 81 57 138 63 103 64 65 1 -- 22
3 IMMA S.: 5 P 0 91 11* 70 70 81 151 51 142 60 70 0 -- 22
1A CRYPTO.: 6 EP0 90 7* 5 75 71 74 146 64 103 57 51 2 -- 13
4 YOU MI.: 8 S 0 89 8* 6 62 60 72 132 59 103 59 61 8 -- 13
1 REPTIL.: 6 S 2 87 6* 5 70 62 61 123 63 103 62 54 4 -- 13
6 REGAL .: 15 EP4 87 16*16 66 66 77 143 53 103 51 51 4 -- 13
5 GRAND .: 15 E 4 86 1* 1 72 67 69 136 53 103 56 54 5 -- 13
7 DEE'S .: 10 E 5 81 18* 64 65 97 162 35 103 37 42 5 90 13
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